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Copper bounces as dollar eases, but mood sombre

Copper prices bounced on Tuesday as the dollar eased, but worries about global growth and demand due to interest rate hikes and climbing inventories still dominate sentiment.

Benchmark copper CMCU3 on the London Metal Exchange (LME) was up 0.8% at $7,401 a tonne at 0957 GMT. It fell to $7,292 a tonne on Monday, a drop of 32% since hitting a record high of $10,845 a tonne in March and the lowest since July 21.

“Markets are trading the macro at the moment and copper is no exception. Any weakness in the dollar will trigger a relief rally, even if only in the short term,” said Sucden Financial analyst Geordie Wilkes.

“But given the weak fundamentals, we expect copper prices to continue to trend lower.”

The dollar .DXY slipped against major peers, making dollar-priced commodities cheaper for holders of other currencies, which could help boost demand if the trend persists.

This relationship is used by funds which trade using short-term buy and sell signals from numerical models. FRX/

However, capping copper’s price gains are expectations of shrinking demand for the metal in Europe due to a manufacturing recession caused by the energy crisis.
Clues to demand prospects will also come on Friday from surveys of purchasing managers at manufacturers in top consumer China, where COVID lockdowns have significantly undermined industrial activity.

Copper stocks MCUSTX-TOTAL in LME-approved warehouses, at 130,850 tonnes, are up nearly 30% since Sept. 15, and cancelled warrants – metal earmarked for delivery – at 7% down from 50% in late August. Both have eased concerns about availability on the LME market.

Lead prices are trading near two-year lows of $1,748 a tonne hit on Monday. Expectations of sliding demand for the battery material from the auto sector, despite the approach of winter when demand for replacement batteries typically rises, are behind the sell-off. The metal CMPB3 was up 0.4% at $1,762 a tonne.
Source: Reuters (Reporting by Pratima Desai; Editing by Jan Harvey)

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