Developing Asia set to meet growth outlook despite trade war – ADB
The Asian Development Bank said developing Asia is on track to meet the lender’s growth expectations for this year and next, even as trade tensions between the United States and China keep casting a shadow over the global economy.
Developing Asia, a group of 45 countries in the Asia-Pacific region, is still expected to grow 5.7% this year and 5.6% next year, the ADB said in a supplement to its Asian Development Outlook report issued in April.
“Even as the trade conflict continues, the region is set to maintain strong but moderating growth”, said ADB Chief Economist Yasuyuki Sawada. “However, until the world’s two largest economies reach agreement, uncertainty will continue to weigh on the regional outlook.”
The ADB also kept its 6.3% and 6.1% growth projections for China for 2019 and 2020, even after growth in the world’s second largest economy slowed to 6.2% in the second quarter, saying policy support should offset softening growth in domestic and external demand.
The lender cut India’s growth forecast to 7.0% in 2019 and 7.2% in 2020, from 7.2% and 7.3%, respectively, seen in April.
Citing higher oil prices, the ADB raised its average inflation forecast for developing Asia to 2.6% for 2019 and 2020 from 2.5% for both years.
Source: Reuters (Reporting by Karen Lema; Editing by Richard Borsuk)