Drewry: Multipurpose Time Charter Index Weakens Further
The Drewry Multipurpose Time Charter Index tracks one-year period charter rates across a basket of vessel types and sizes and forecasts the market movement over the coming month. The vessel types include breakbulk and project cargo ships.
The Drewry Multipurpose Time Charter Index weakened further over June, by just 0.6%, to $11,050 per day as spot rates in the competing sectors softened. Going forward we expect the weakening trend to continue in July, albeit very slowly, with rates dropping a further 1.4%, to $10,900 per day.
Drewry’s latest assessment
Uncertainty remains the key driver for the outlook for the Multipurpose and Heavylift fleet. Chinese exports are still hampered by Covid restrictions, European demand is weak due to increasing economic concerns and inflation in the US coupled with the continue supply chain issues at the major ports mean that consumer confidence is receding fast.
On the MPV charter market, the short-sea sector is becalmed with rates over much of June steady in the face of rising fuel costs and continued conflict in Ukraine (and what that means in terms of vessel supply and certain trade lanes). Add to this the inevitable summer slow down that this smaller sector faces (as steel mills close for the holidays and harvests are not quite ready) and there is some space in the sector in the short term.
For the larger, more heavylift capable sector rates have weakened in line with the weakness in the container sector. That said, we don’t expect this softening to quicken, with only a very gradual decline expected over the summer as the capacity issues start to unwind slowly on some routes. Rates are expected to remain well ahead of 2021 for some time to come.
Related Research: Multipurpose Shipping Sector
For access to the latest charter rates and forecasts across a range of multipurpose vessel types subscribe to Drewry’s Multipurpose Forecaster. Published quarterly it provides 5-year forecasts and market updates for the global Breakbulk and Heavy Lift shipping markets, together with supplementary monthly updates of the latest market developments, including charter rates and asset values.