UK GAS-Prices mostly rise on higher demand forecasts
British wholesale prompt gas prices mostly rose on Monday due to higher gas-for power demand and strong exports to Belgium which could increase further this week.
* Day-ahead gas rose by 0.55 pence per therm to 54.25 p/therm at 0924 GMT amid forecasts of higher gas-for-power demand due to declining wind output
* Within-day gas was 1.00 pence higher at 54.50 p/therm
* The August contract was up 0.90 pence at 56.50 p/therm
* Residential and commercial demand should also rise by 2 million cubic metres (mcm) per day to 56 mcm/day
* Weather forecasts monitored by Thomson Reuters analysts showed higher average temperatures for Monday by up to 1.7 degrees Celsius to 20.4 degrees
* The current spell of above-average temperatures is expected to continue throughout the week at around 20 degrees C, according to Thomson Reuters weather data
* The system was oversupplied by 11.3 mcm with demand at 184.4 mcm, slightly above seasonal averages, and supply seen at 195.7 mcm/day, according to National Grid data
* Norwegian exports to Britain jumped by 26 mcm/day to 77 mcm/day, but a rising share of that could be diverted to mainland Europe where prices are fetching a premium, cutting into UK supply availability
* UK Continental Shelf gas supplies steadied at 105 mcm/day.
* Gas exports out of Britain to Belgium through the InterconnectorUK pipeline are expected to remain robust at 55 mcm/day this week, another factor helping to lift gas contracts
* Day-ahead gas at the Dutch TTF hub rose by 0.57 euro to 22.15 euros per megawatt-hour
* The benchmark Dec-18 EU carbon contract was flat at 15.08 euros a tonne.
Source: Reuters (Reporting by Oleg Vukmanovic; Editing by Nina Chestney)